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	<title>Gustav Mannerheim (Finnish leader) &#8211; Real Context News (RCN)</title>
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		<title>A Flurry of Telling Parallels Between the 1939-1940 Soviet-Finnish Winter War and Russia’s 2022 Ukraine War</title>
		<link>https://realcontextnews.com/a-flurry-of-telling-parallels-between-the-1939-1940-soviet-finnish-winter-war-and-russias-2022-ukraine-war/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brian E. Frydenborg]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jun 2022 18:59:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe/Russia/CIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russian Invasion of Ukraine]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Finland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gustav Mannerheim (Finnish leader)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joseph Stalin]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Soviet-Finnish Winter War 1939-40]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Viktor Medvedchuk]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Volodymyr Zelensky]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Apart from other thematic ways I already discussed that Putin today is repeating Stalin&#8217;s mistakes from the disastrous launching of&#8230;]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><em>Apart from <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-delusions-of-phantom-fascist-duped-stalin-in-1939-and-putin-in-2022/">other thematic ways</a> I <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/moscows-1939-finland-hubris-repeats-itself-in-ukraine-in-2022/">already discussed</a> that Putin today is repeating Stalin&#8217;s mistakes from the disastrous launching of the 1939 Soviet invasion of Finland, here are a number of other illuminating similarities between the two debacles</em></h3>



<p>(<strong><a href="https://realcontextnews-com.translate.goog/a-flurry-of-telling-parallels-between-the-1939-1940-soviet-finnish-winter-war-and-russias-2022-ukraine-war/?_x_tr_sl=auto&amp;_x_tr_tl=ru&amp;_x_tr_hl=en&amp;_x_tr_pto=wapp">Russian/Русский перевод</a></strong>) <em>By Brian E. Frydenborg, June 7, 2022 (<a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="http://twitter.com/bfry1981" target="_blank">Twitter @bfry1981</a></em>; <em><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianfrydenborg/" target="_blank">LinkedIn</a>, <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.facebook.com/realcontextnews" target="_blank">Facebook</a>)</em>; <em>this is one of a series of articles excerpted and/or adapted from Brian’s May 23 </em>Small Wars Journal <em>article, <strong><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/bungling-prewar-and-first-moves-finland-1939-and-ukraine-2022-comedy-errors-stalins-soviet" target="_blank">Bungling the Prewar and First Moves in Finland 1939 and Ukraine 2022: A Comedy of Errors for Stalin’s Soviet Union and Putin’s Russia, Respectively</a></strong>, his deep-dive analysis on the parallels between the 1939-1940 Soviet-Finnish Winter War that was inspired by his reading the beginning of one of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1991/07/07/books/stalins-bloody-nose.html">the definitive English accounts of this war</a>—</em>William Trotter’s A Frozen Hell: The Russo-Finnish Winter War of 1939-40<em> (Algonquin Books of Chapel Hill, 1991, 283 pages; <em><em>for sourcing, assume all uncited information comes from Trotter’s book but quotes will be given a page number or numbers in parentheses and anything from another source an external a link</em>; <em>in some instances, when I have written in detail about something, I may link to my own work, in which you can find many external sources backing up what has been stated</em></em>).  This conflict is especially timely as <a href="https://warontherocks.com/2022/05/what-would-finland-bring-to-the-table-for-nato/">Finland seeks to join NATO</a> in light of <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/putins-zombie-russian-slavic-ethnonationalism-is-utterly-banal/">Russia’s recent imperialist aggression</a>.</em></p>


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<figure class="aligncenter size-full is-resized"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg" alt="Trotter Frozen Hell" class="wp-image-5619" width="252" height="375" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg 579w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book-202x300.jpg 202w" sizes="(max-width: 252px) 100vw, 252px" /></a></figure>
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<p><em>Other articles excerpted and/or adapted from the May 23</em> Small Wars Journal <em>article:</em></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list"><li><em>May 23:</em> <em><strong><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-terrifying-comparison-between-putin-and-stalin/">A Terrifying Comparison Between Putin and Stalin</a></strong></em></li><li><em>May 25:</em> <em><strong><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-brief-history-of-russian-and-soviet-genocides-mass-deportations-and-other-atrocities-in-ukraine/">A Brief History of Russian and Soviet Genocides, Mass Deportations, and Other Atrocities in Ukraine</a></strong></em></li><li><em>May 31: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/banderites-what-russia-really-means-when-it-calls-ukraine-nazi-and-fascist/"><strong>“Banderites”: What Russia Really Means When It Calls Ukraine Nazi and Fascist</strong></a></em></li><li><em>June 2: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-delusions-of-phantom-fascist-duped-stalin-in-1939-and-putin-in-2022/"><strong>How Delusions of Phantom Fascists Duped Stalin in 1939 and Putin in 2022</strong></a></em></li><li><em>June 5: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/moscows-1939-finland-hubris-repeats-itself-in-ukraine-in-2022/"><strong>Moscow’s 1939 Finland Hubris Repeats Itself in Ukraine in 2022</strong></a></em></li></ul>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Inspecting_Soviet_skiing_manuals.jpg"><img decoding="async" width="800" height="869" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Inspecting_Soviet_skiing_manuals.jpg" alt="Finnish officers are inspecting Soviet skiing manuals" class="wp-image-5699" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Inspecting_Soviet_skiing_manuals.jpg 800w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Inspecting_Soviet_skiing_manuals-276x300.jpg 276w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Inspecting_Soviet_skiing_manuals-768x834.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px" /></a><figcaption><em>Finnish officers are inspecting (and amused by) Soviet skiing manuals gained as loot from the Battle of Suomussalmi- SA-Kuva (<a href="https://finna.fi/Record/sa-kuva.sa-kuva-112544" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Finnish Wartime Photograph Archive</a>)</em></figcaption></figure>



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<p>SILVER SPRING—Apart from the main themes I have already discussed in this series (<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/moscows-1939-finland-hubris-repeats-itself-in-ukraine-in-2022/">hubris</a> and <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-delusions-of-phantom-fascist-duped-stalin-in-1939-and-putin-in-2022/">delusions about “fascists”</a>), there are a number of other noteworthy similarities between the two conflicts apparent from Trotter’s early chapters.</p>



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<p>One major parallel involves command and control, combined arms coordination, and communication.&nbsp; Notes Trotter:</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><p>Nor did the Red generals appreciate the amount of trouble the Wehrmacht [i.e., German Military] had taken to perfect tactical coordination between the component arms, to ensure a reliable and redundant network of communications, and to instill in its frontline commanders a sense of drive and individual initiative.  Those very qualities, if displayed in the Red Army, were more apt to earn a man a trip to the gulag than a pat on the back.  Many of the battalion and regimental commanders who would lead the Russian attacks were by this time little more than groveling flunkies whose every battlefield decision had to be seconded by a political commissar before orders could go to the troops. (36)</p></blockquote>



<p>As for the Ukraine war today, it has been <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/04/08/how-russia-botched-ukraine-invasion/">amply noted</a> (including <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-look-at-putins-disgraceful-heartless-barbaric-treatment-of-russian-soldiers-and-their-families/">by me</a>) that <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-moscows-eastern-offensive-suffers-setb-rcna26754">these elements</a> have been <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/04/12/ukraine-military-culture-advantage-over-russia/">a resounding disgrace</a> for the Russian military: troops using <a href="https://twitter.com/ThreshedThought/status/1524687923676954624">easily trackable sim cards</a> in their cell phones, thus revealing their positions/relative strength; troops <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/1094656395/how-does-ukraine-keep-intercepting-russian-military-communications">communicating</a> with <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/22/ukraine-russia-military-radio/">totally unsecured</a> and <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/27/russian-military-unsecured-communications/">easily monitored methods</a>, such as those cell phones; a general <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html">getting killed because</a> Ukraine could track his phone calls; <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/05/03/russia-ukraine-electronic-warfare/">command posts</a> getting <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/04/23/the-ukrainians-keep-blowing-up-russian-command-posts-and-killing-generals/?sh=529fe28fa350">hit regularly</a> by Ukraine; a <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/21/politics/us-russia-top-military-commander-ukraine-war/index.html">lack</a> of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/01/world/europe/russian-general-dead-valery-gerasimov.html">coordination overall</a> and between <a href="https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2022/03/russias-rocket-barrages-reveal-bad-planning-crueltyand-absence-crucial-skills/362911/">different</a> military <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2022/03/17/russia-military-failing-dangerous/">branches</a>, including air support that <a href="file:///C:/Users/bfry1/Dropbox/Nor%20did%20the%20Red%20generals%20appreciate%20the%20amount%20of%20trouble%20the%20Wehrmacht%20had%20taken%20to%20perfect%20tactical%20coordination%20between%20the%20component%20arms,%20to%20ensure%20a%20reliable%20and%20redundant%20network%20of%20communications,%20and%20to%20instill%20in%20its%20frontline%20commanders%20a%20sense%20of%20drive%20and%20individual%20initiative.%20Those%20very%20qualities,%20if%20displayed%20in%20the%20Red%20Army,%20were%20more%20apt%20to%20earn%20a%20man%20a%20trip%20to%20the%20gulag%20than%20a%20pat%20on%20the%20back.%20Many%20of%20the%20battalion%20and%20regimental%20commanders%20who%20would%20lead%20the%20Russian%20attacks%20were%20by%20this%20time%20little%20more%20than%20groveling%20flunkies%20whose%20every%20battlefield%20decision%20had%20to%20be%20seconded%20by%20a%20political%20commissar%20before%20orders%20could%20go%20to%20the%20troops.">does not arrive</a>; <a href="https://twitter.com/delfoo/status/1497498201527521281">poor</a>, <a href="https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1527164857082122240">mercurial</a>, and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/31/us/politics/russia-military-ukraine.html">unclear</a> command <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/russia-suffered-loss-extraordinary-number-generals/story?id=84545931">structures</a> (if a <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/16/putin-involved-russia-ukraine-war-western-sources">recent report</a> that Putin may be micromanaging things on the battlefield, this only makes this last problem exponentially more insurmountable); and the list could go on…</p>



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<p>For another similarity, Stalin was fairly isolated, having not-too-long-before committed a series of massive purges of the Soviet military, intelligence, political, and bureaucratic leadership.  To say that the survivors and replacements were hesitant to tell Stalin something that he did not want to hear would be a massive understatement.  In particular, his main diplomatic man in Helsinki, Vladimir Derevyanski, was a constant source of wildly rosy, inaccurate views of the real mood and situation on the ground in Finland.</p>



<p>Putin, too, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/05/world/putin-pandemic-mindset.html">especially</a> in this <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/10/opinion/putin-russia-ukraine.html">pandemic era</a>, is a <a href="https://www.vox.com/2022/4/6/23013514/vladimir-putin-russia-ukraine-history-marvin-kalb">pretty isolated leader</a>: his <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/02/28/putin-bizarre-isolation/"><em>long</em> meeting tables</a> with himself and the guest sitting on opposite ends and the vast <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/95074e66-2da9-431e-8959-2039f5d3c08d">separation from his council</a> at major government meetings are only the most obvious representations of <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/04/11/putin-misjudged-ukraine-hubris-isolation/">this isolation</a>.&nbsp; Along with <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220224-ukraine-crisis-exposes-putin-s-isolated-paranoid-world">this isolation</a>, it is <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60936117">almost certain</a> that he has been getting from <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/30/putin-advisers-russia-ukraine-error-gchq-head-jeremy-fleming-speech">advisors afraid to tell him the truth</a> a <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/03/31/us-says-putin-aides-lie-him-big-if-true/">fantastical version</a> of the situation on the ground on Ukraine on which he based his plans and adjustments and on which much of the massive failure of Russia during the early phase of the war can be blamed.&nbsp; His <a href="https://cepa.org/putin-places-spies-under-house-arrest/">senior advisors</a>, like Stalin’s inner circle after the purges, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/21/putin-angry-spectacle-amounts-to-declaration-war-ukraine">nervously</a> fear being imprisoned or <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/mysterious-series-of-deaths-among-russian-oligarchs/a-61719107">worse</a> (<a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/the-purges-in-putins-shrinking-inner-circle">as is already happening</a>) and very likely <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2022/3/24/22982864/vladimir-putin-russia-ukraine-war-brian-klaas">adjust what they tell</a> Putin accordingly; the same can be said for <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/04/11/putin-misjudged-ukraine-hubris-isolation/">many of their sources</a>.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-1.png"><img decoding="async" width="705" height="470" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-1.png" alt="Putin isolated 1" class="wp-image-5705" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-1.png 705w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-1-300x200.png 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-1-272x182.png 272w" sizes="(max-width: 705px) 100vw, 705px" /></a><figcaption><em>Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP</em></figcaption></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="655" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2-1024x655.png" alt="Putin isolated 2" class="wp-image-5704" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2-1024x655.png 1024w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2-300x192.png 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2-768x491.png 768w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Putin-isolated-2.png 1240w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a><figcaption><em>Mikhail Klimentyev / Sputnik via AP</em></figcaption></figure>



<p>For Stalin’s man in Helsinki, Derevyanski, we can substitute Ukrainian Viktor Medvedchuk as Putin’s man in Kyiv, whom <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-cohens-and-manaforts-ukraine-ties-tell-the-deeper-story-of-trump-russia-and-the-mueller-probe/">I have profiled before</a>.  Like Stalin’s Derevyanski, Medvedchuk is thought for years to have been providing Moscow with <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/04/11/putin-misjudged-ukraine-hubris-isolation/">bad information</a> that is far from the reality on the ground, contributing to the gross misjudgments of Putin’s that have the world in the situation with Ukraine that it is now.  Medvedchuk is so close to Putin that the Russian president is even godfather to the man’s daughter; her godmother is the wife of Putin’s temporary successor to the Russian presidency from 2008-2012, Dmitry Medvedev, now the top official on the Russian Security Council after Putin himself (notably, Medvedchuk’s wife—Oxana Marchenko—<a href="https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/corruption-and-money-laundering/narco-a-lago-panama/#chapter-5/section-2">seems to have had financial ties</a> through a super-shady Ukrainian “businessman”—Igor Anopolskiy—who was seriously involved with the scandal-plagued, ill-fated Panama City, Panama, Trump Ocean Club International Hotel and Tower, a hub of money laundering for the Putin-allied <a href="https://www.globalwitness.org/en/campaigns/corruption-and-money-laundering/narco-a-lago-panama/#chapter-5/section-2">Russian mafia and Latin American drug cartels</a> alike).</p>



<p>One of the longtime leaders and orchestrators of the pro-Russian political faction in Ukraine, Medvedchuk has been <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-cohens-and-manaforts-ukraine-ties-tell-the-deeper-story-of-trump-russia-and-the-mueller-probe/">trying to hand Putin influence</a> in Ukraine through his corrupt politics and media operations, most recently in Ukraine’s parliament as the main opposition figure to Zelensky.&nbsp; The coalition party he leads—<a href="https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/ki_191106_cable_45_v2.pdf">Opposition Platform—For Life</a>—runs <a href="https://time.com/6144109/russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-viktor-medvedchuk/">multiple disinformation television</a> stations in Ukraine that are like a mix of <em>Fox News</em> and RT (one of the Russian government’s top disinformation/propaganda outlets), on a mission to undermine his political foe Zelensky and the West while boosting Putin and Russia.&nbsp; U.S. intelligence has said Medvedchuk is part of a <a href="https://time.com/6144109/russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-viktor-medvedchuk/">plot to overthrow Zelensky</a>, and he has been charged with treason in Ukraine.&nbsp; Unsurprisingly, he fled his house arrest, only to be <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61089039">captured by Ukrainian forces</a> last month, after which Zelensky’s Instagram account displayed this photo of Medvedchuk in handcuffs:</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Medvedchuk-captured.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="807" height="593" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Medvedchuk-captured.png" alt="" class="wp-image-5703" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Medvedchuk-captured.png 807w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Medvedchuk-captured-300x220.png 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Medvedchuk-captured-768x564.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 807px) 100vw, 807px" /></a><figcaption><em><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.instagram.com/p/CcQqp2IoqbQ/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=" target="_blank">President Zelensky’s Instagram account</a>; caption: “A special operation was carried out thanks to the SBU [Ukraine’s domestic security/intelligence service].  Well done! Details later.  Glory to Ukraine! [Google translation]”</em></figcaption></figure>



<p>If people spend so much time creating an alternate reality, they might actually just believe in it, and while it is impossible to tell from the outside to what degree Putin and his minions believe what they profess even as <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2022/feb/16/ukraine-russia-latest-news-live-putin-biden-kyiv-russian-invasion-threat">it changes</a> so <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/24/ukraine-russia-denials/">often</a>, reality has certainly to a significant degree eluded them.</p>



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<p>A further interesting parallel, this one between Finland then and Ukraine today, involves their preparations for war.  The political leadership of both nations professed publicly that they did not take Moscow’s threats entirely seriously, that it was bluffing as a negotiating strategy more than actually preparing for a serious war.  In the case of the Finns, this mentality very much characterized the actual beliefs of Finnish Prime Minister Aimo Cajander, President Kyösti Kallio, Foreign Minister Eljas Erkko, and the rest of the Finnish leadership team, with the main exception being Gustav Mannerheim, the man who would actually lead Finland&#8217;s military effort during the war.</p>



<p>With Ukraine today, at least <a href="https://youtu.be/UkQW8Q8rcEg?t=113">one telling interview</a> with <em>CNN</em>’s excellent Matthew Chance convincingly supports the idea that while Zelensky publicly downplayed the threat of a Russian invasion, he was privately deeply worried one was coming and did not only downplay the threat to help Ukrainians keep calm, but <em>by design</em> to bait the Russians into a sloppy, rushed, overconfident approach to their invasion (I would say this claim of Zelensky’s is well-supported by how events have played—and continue to play—out).</p>



<p>In the cases of both countries, though, the military leaders were planning meticulously what to do in the event of an invasion launched by Moscow, well aware of their relatively small size and fewer resources available (in contrast, the Soviet planners never thought they might be fighting a war against <em>only</em> Finland; their planning had envisioned much grander conflicts, ones in which Finland was quickly co-opted or occupied itself by a major Western power and used as a staging area for invasion).  Whatever Finnish or Ukrainian politicians were saying, whatever they meant, then, the military folks in both Finland and <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/12/23/ukraine-russia-military-buildup-capabilities/">Ukraine took the opportunities</a> to <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11862">plan</a>, <a href="https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2017/10/ukraine-us-trains-army-west-fight-east/141577/">train</a>, and <a href="https://www.thebulwark.com/i-commanded-u-s-army-europe-heres-what-i-saw-in-the-russian-and-ukrainian-armies/">prepare</a> during the years in the run-up to the actual invasions very seriously and to <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/09/ukraine-military-2014-russia-us-training/">incredibly good effect</a>; to <a href="https://www.thebulwark.com/i-commanded-u-s-army-europe-heres-what-i-saw-in-the-russian-and-ukrainian-armies/">quote Mark Hertling</a>, Commanding General of U.S. Army Europe and the Seventh Army in 2011-2012, “during my assignment as commander of U.S. Army Europe, I also spent a significant amount of time with the Ukrainian Army and was amazed as I watched them grow in professionalism and effectiveness.”  He had also seen them over the years in other capacities, which makes that already considerably weighty statement carry even more weight.</p>



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<p>Sill another situation where commonalities are present is a related similarity involving how both Finland and Ukraine would explain their position to the rest of the world.  In this vein, the following passage of Trotter’s on Mannerheim’s and his subordinates’ strategy struck me powerfully:</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><p>In the long run, Finland’s only real guarantee of continued existence was the conscience of Western civilization.  Finland, it was hoped, would be regarded as a vital outpost of everything the Western powers stood for, and as such the country would not be allowed to vanish from the map.  Thus was born a strategy designed to enable Finland to hang on long enough for outside aid to reach it. (39)</p></blockquote>



<p>Both Finland and Ukraine <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/05/russia-ukraine-insurgency/">had plans</a>, too, for <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-readies-insurgency-russia-prepares-possible-war-n1288778">continuing</a> to fight <a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/5dg43z/ukraine-russia-insurgency-plan">against Russia</a> even <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/bomb-shelters-guerrilla-war-building-ukraines-resistance-82594858">under occupation</a> and/or if the West did not come to its aid or aid came too late to prevent the fall of the country to the invaders.  But it is the overlap <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/04/10/1091920075/ukraine-russia-zelenskyy-europe">from Ukraine today</a> with the above-quoted themes that is most striking, not least in terms of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/21/world/europe/zelensky-speeches-ukraine-russia.html">the rhetoric</a> we are <a href="https://youtu.be/CnlRXQ_z7mA?t=544">hearing today from</a> Ukraine <a href="https://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/razom-iz-soyuznikami-mi-tochno-mozhemo-zupiniti-rosijsku-agr-74653">matching</a> Finland’s characterization in 1939-1940 of itself as the <a href="https://en.uaf.ua/article/44762">defender of Europe and the West</a> and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/transcript-zelensky-speech.html">its values</a>—the defender of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkQW8Q8rcEg">freedom and democracy</a>—in the face of rampant aggression from Moscow.</p>



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<p>A final key parallel involves how the wars began.  Ever the propagandists, the Soviets even went through the trouble of a false flag attack (an attack committed by one party but blamed on another for propaganda purposes), firing artillery barely into their own territory—perhaps some 800 meters from Finland’s border—on November 26, 1939, then claiming it was the Finns who fired to start the war:</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><p>The…shots, [Khrushchev] claimed, were set up by Marshal of Artillery Kulik, a brutal and cretinous NKVD general whose military incompetence would cost the Soviet Union terribly during the first weeks of the German invasion.  It is logical to assume that Zhdanov and Stalin both knew of the fabrication and condoned it.  Khrushchev deals coyly with the question of who fired first at whom: “It’s always like that when people start a war.  They say, ‘You fired the first shot,’ or ‘You slapped me first and I’m only hitting back.’  There was once a ritual which you sometimes see in opera: someone throws down a glove to challenge someone else to a duel; if the glove is picked up, that means the challenge is accepted.  Perhaps that’s how it was done in the old days, but in our time it’s not always so clear who starts a war.” (22)</p></blockquote>



<p>This seems to be similar in spirit to how Putin started his massive late-February 2022-through-the-present escalation against Ukraine: <a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/02/17/east-ukraine-separatists-accuse-kyiv-of-shelling-as-us-accuses-russia-of-invasion-pretext-a76427">shelling</a> from his Russian military and the pro-Russian separatists Russia supports in the Donbas <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/17/ukraine-russia-kindergarten-shelling/">all across the main lines there</a>, coupled with (nearly-certain-to-be) <a href="https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/christopherm51/russia-false-reports-ukraine-justify-attack">disinformation</a> that Ukrainian forces were <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-russia-falsely-blames-ukraine-for-starting-war/a-60999948">initiating escalation</a> by firing intensely <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/21/us-warns-of-possible-targeted-killings-by-russia-live-news">into separatist territory</a> or even sending “saboteurs” into <a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/02/21/russia-says-kills-5-ukraine-saboteurs-a76494">Russian territory</a> (among other <a href="https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/feb/25/vladimir-putin/putin-repeats-long-running-claim-genocide-ukraine/">inane claims</a>).&nbsp; The Ukrainians, far more credibly accusing Russia of lying and even <a href="https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-news-02-20-22-intl/h_ba2de558ba2b332c6ddf1219bfef7b25">carrying out a false flag attack</a>, denied the <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/02/18/1081790784/ukraine-evacuation-russia-donetsk">relatively absurd claims</a> that they as the far-smaller and far-weaker party—the one that wanted to <em>avoid</em> war—somehow managed to deliberately start the war and provoke the far more powerful party of Russia, to whatever inconceivable ends.&nbsp; After all, Zelensky has shown himself to be no fool and <a href="https://www.sandboxx.us/blog/how-false-flag-operations-work-and-russias-history-of-using-them/">Moscow is the party</a> here with <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/04/false-flag-invasions-are-a-russian-specialty/">a history</a> of false flag attacks and <a href="https://cepa.org/dont-let-russia-fool-you-about-the-minsk-agreements/">gaslighting</a> about <a href="https://www.hrw.org/report/2020/10/15/targeting-life-idlib/syrian-and-russian-strikes-civilian-infrastructure">its own roles</a> in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/04/russian-mercenaries-wagner-group-linked-to-civilian-massacres-in-mali">participating</a> in <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/03/01/1083686606/ukraine-russia-civilian-casualties-syria">various conflicts</a>.&nbsp; The Biden Administration along with <a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-putin-boris-johnson-travel-lifestyle-8266fc649415566554d6e3bc8e42fcc9">Boris Johnson’s British Government</a> has rather <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/02/24/biden-does-victory-lap-russia-ukraine-intelligence/">deftly</a> publicly <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukraine-news-donbas-rebels-shelling-putin-response-us-proposals/">called out</a> Russia’s disinformation and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/12/us/politics/russia-information-putin-biden.html">false flag efforts preemptively</a> and <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/preemptive-public-us-strikes-winning-intelligence-war-russia/story?id=84015518">consistently</a>, further <a href="https://time.com/6151578/russia-disinformation-ukraine-social-media/">undermining</a> the Kremlin’s game plan to make the world think Ukraine was the aggressor and <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/02/24/biden-does-victory-lap-russia-ukraine-intelligence/">one-upping</a> Putin <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/17/politics/russia-ukraine-us-biden-putin/index.html">on the information war front</a> with an <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-using-declassified-intel-fight-info-war-russia-even-intel-isnt-rock-rcna23014">unprecedented, bold approach</a> to releasing and sharing intelligence.</p>



<p>Moscow over the years seems to do far more than most nations to prove <a href="https://quoteinvestigator.com/2020/04/11/casualty/">the old saying</a> that “truth is the first casualty in war.”</p>



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<h5 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Dumfounding Déjà Vu</strong></h5>



<p>What is crazy about all this is that this article and others in this series simply arose out of reactions to <em>just the beginning</em> of Trotter’s book on the Winter War.</p>



<p>One thing that is clear: in trying to understand the events between Finland and the Soviet Union in 1939, for Trotter:</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><p>Motives, true feelings, and lines of responsibility are not very clear at this level of the Soviet command even today. The whole Finnish campaign was an embarrassment to the officer caste, and even half a century later there is little discussion of it in print on the Russian side. (34)</p></blockquote>



<p>Three decades after Trotter’s book was published, Putin’s pathetic execution of his war in Ukraine demonstrates clearly that there has been little serious high-level discussion or understanding of any sort in the Kremlin of the First Soviet-Finnish War.</p>



<p><em>See all&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/articles/putin-russia-war-ukraine-invasion/">Brian’s Ukraine coverage&nbsp;<strong>here</strong></a></em></p>



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<p><strong>© 2022 Brian E. Frydenborg all rights reserved, permission required for republication, attributed quotations welcome</strong></p>



<p><em>Also see my eBook,&nbsp;</em><strong><em>A Song of Gas and Politics: How Ukraine Is at the Center of Trump-Russia, or, Ukrainegate: A “New” Phase in the Trump-Russia Saga Made from Recycled Materials</em></strong><em>, available for&nbsp;</em><strong><em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B081Y39SKR/">Amazon Kindle</a></em></strong><em>&nbsp;and</em><strong><em>&nbsp;<a href="https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/a-song-of-gas-and-politics-brian-frydenborg/1135108286?ean=2940163106288">Barnes &amp; Noble Nook</a></em></strong>&nbsp;(preview&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-song-of-gas-and-politics-how-ukraine-is-at-the-center-of-trump-russia-or-ukrainegate-a-new-phase-in-the-trump-russia-saga-made-from-recycled-materials-ebook-preview-excerpt/">here</a>), and be sure to check out&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/articles/podcast/"><strong>Brian’s new podcast</strong></a>!</p>


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		<title>A Terrifying Comparison Between Putin and Stalin</title>
		<link>https://realcontextnews.com/a-terrifying-comparison-between-putin-and-stalin/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brian E. Frydenborg]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 May 2022 17:45:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe/Russia/CIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russian Invasion of Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[(Violent) extremism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adolf Hitler]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Fascism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gustav Mannerheim (Finnish leader)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Biden (Administration/campaign)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joseph Stalin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military ethics/war crimes/atrocities]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet Union (U.S.S.R.)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet-Finnish Winter War 1939-40]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Looking at the geopolitics of Eastern Europe in 2022 and 1939 is both illuminating and disturbing (Russian/Русский перевод)&#160;By Brian E.&#160;Frydenborg,&#8230;]]></description>
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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><em>Looking at the geopolitics of Eastern Europe in 2022 and 1939 is both illuminating and disturbing</em></h3>



<p>(<strong><a href="https://realcontextnews-com.translate.goog/a-terrifying-comparison-between-putin-and-stalin/?_x_tr_sl=auto&amp;_x_tr_tl=ru&amp;_x_tr_hl=en&amp;_x_tr_pto=wapp">Russian/Русский перевод</a></strong>)&nbsp;<em>By Brian E.&nbsp;Frydenborg, May 23, 2022 (<a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="http://twitter.com/bfry1981" target="_blank">Twitter @bfry1981</a></em>; <em><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianfrydenborg/" target="_blank">LinkedIn</a>,&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.facebook.com/realcontextnews" target="_blank">Facebook</a>)</em>; <em>this is the first of a series of articles excerpted and/or adapted from Brian’s same-day </em>Small Wars Journal <em>article, <strong><a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/bungling-prewar-and-first-moves-finland-1939-and-ukraine-2022-comedy-errors-stalins-soviet" target="_blank">Bungling the Prewar and First Moves in Finland 1939 and Ukraine 2022: A Comedy of Errors for Stalin’s Soviet Union and Putin’s Russia, Respectively</a></strong>, his deep-dive analysis on the parallels between the 1939-1940 Soviet-Finnish Winter War that was inspired by his reading the beginning of one of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1991/07/07/books/stalins-bloody-nose.html">the definitive English accounts of this war</a>—</em>William Trotter’s A Frozen Hell: The Russo-Finnish Winter War of 1939-40<em> (Algonquin Books of Chapel Hill, 1991, 283 pages; <em>for sourcing, assume all uncited information comes from Trotter’s book but quotes will be given a page number or numbers in parentheses and anything from another source an external a link</em>; <em>in some instances, when I have written in detail about something, I may link to my own work, in which you can find many external sources backing up what has been stated</em>).  This conflict is especially timely as <a href="https://warontherocks.com/2022/05/what-would-finland-bring-to-the-table-for-nato/">Finland seeks to join NATO</a> in light of <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/putins-zombie-russian-slavic-ethnonationalism-is-utterly-banal/">Russia’s recent imperialist aggression</a>.</em></p>


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<figure class="aligncenter size-full is-resized"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg" alt="Trotter Frozen Hell" class="wp-image-5619" width="252" height="375" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book.jpg 579w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1book-202x300.jpg 202w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 252px) 100vw, 252px" /></a></figure>
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<p><em>Other articles excerpted and/or adapted from the </em>Small Wars Journal <em>article:</em></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list"><li><em>May 25:</em> <em><strong><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-brief-history-of-russian-and-soviet-genocides-mass-deportations-and-other-atrocities-in-ukraine/">A Brief History of Russian and Soviet Genocides, Mass Deportations, and Other Atrocities in Ukraine</a></strong></em></li><li><em>May 31: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/banderites-what-russia-really-means-when-it-calls-ukraine-nazi-and-fascist/"><strong>“Banderites”: What Russia Really Means When It Calls Ukraine Nazi and Fascist</strong></a></em></li><li><em>June 2: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/how-delusions-of-phantom-fascist-duped-stalin-in-1939-and-putin-in-2022/"><strong>How Delusions of Phantom Fascists Duped Stalin in 1939 and Putin in 2022</strong></a></em></li><li><em>June 5: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/moscows-1939-finland-hubris-repeats-itself-in-ukraine-in-2022/"><strong>Moscow’s 1939 Finland Hubris Repeats Itself in Ukraine in 2022</strong></a></em></li><li><em>June 7: <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-flurry-of-telling-parallels-between-the-1939-1940-soviet-finnish-winter-war-and-russias-2022-ukraine-war/"><strong>A Flurry of Telling Parallels Between the 1939-1940 Soviet-Finnish Winter War and Russia’s 2022 Ukraine War</strong></a></em></li></ul>



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<h4 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Location, Location, Location: Geopolitics in Eastern Europe for Stalin (and Putin)</strong></h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/vladimir-putins-rewriting-of-history-draws-on-a-long-tradition-of-soviet-myth-making-180979724/"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="768" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/putin-stalin-mural-1024x768.jpg" alt="Putin Stalin Mural" class="wp-image-5618" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/putin-stalin-mural-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/putin-stalin-mural-300x225.jpg 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/putin-stalin-mural-768x576.jpg 768w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/putin-stalin-mural.jpg 1400w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a><figcaption><em><a href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/vladimir-putins-rewriting-of-history-draws-on-a-long-tradition-of-soviet-myth-making-180979724/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">A collage of Vladimir Putin placing his hand on Joseph Stalin&#8217;s shoulder</a>&#8211;  Illustration by Meilan Solly / Photos: Pool / AFP via Getty Images and Fine Art Images / Heritage Images / Getty Images</em></figcaption></figure>



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<h5 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Setting the Stage</strong></h5>



<p>WASHINGTON and SILVER SPRING—On the first page of the first chapter, geography is, appropriately, discussed.&nbsp; Like Ukraine’s plains, the Karelian Isthmus that connects Finland historically to St. Petersburg—the tsarist capital since the time of Peter the Great, but renamed Petrograd during <a href="https://mwi.usma.edu/urgent-lessons-world-war/">World War I</a>, then Leningrad in the Soviet era, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1991/06/13/world/leningrad-petersburg-and-the-great-name-debate.html">after Vladimir Lenin’s death</a>—has been a pathway for invaders from both directions. &nbsp;&nbsp;In the case of the isthmus, this path was into and out of Russia and Asia on one side and Europe and Scandinavia on the other, and controlling such pathways was deemed vital to Soviet Premier Joseph Stalin in the late 1930s as it is also by Russian President Vladimir Putin in the twenty-first century.&nbsp; Even in the 1930s, driving across the Isthmus from Finland’s border to Leningrad was simply a matter of a few hours (just thirty-two kilometers to its limits).</p>



<p>With Hitler’s outright and frothing hostility to the ideology of communism and to the Slavic people as a whole, and, to Russia’s West there being Imperial Japan (also intensely hostile to communism and expanding near Russia’s Far East), Soviet Premier Joseph Stalin eyed ostensibly neutral Finland quite nervously: though the Russian tsars ruled over Finland for a little over a century after the Napoleonic Wars, in the waning days of the Tsarist Russian Empire, Finns looked to overthrow an increasingly repressive Russian rule during World War I, some 2,000 Finns collaborating with Kaiser Wilhelm’s Imperial Germany during the war I and serving in their own unit in the Kaiser’s Imperial German Army.&nbsp; Just days after the 1917 October/Bolshevik Revolution began in Russia—in which Lenin and his communists seized power in Petrograd—Finland declared independence and Lenin was too distracted by bigger problems to not acquiesce three weeks later.&nbsp; Despite the efforts of Finnish communist with newly-Soviet Russian help to hold and expand power in Finland, during the Finnish Civil War of 1918, the Finnish communists were crushed by the opposing Finnish Whites with the help of forces from Imperial Germany.&nbsp; Not long after, the Finns would allow anti-Bolshevik Russian and British forces to launch attacks against Russian communists during the Russian Civil War, though the communists under Lenin would prevail in the conflict.&nbsp; He and his regime were bitter about losing Finland, and felt at some future point it could be brought back into the fold with little effort.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1a.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1a.png" alt="Europe post-WWI" class="wp-image-5622" width="980" height="665" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1a.png 1024w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1a-300x204.png 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1a-768x521.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px" /></a><figcaption><em>Europe in 1923 after collapse of WWI empires and postwar settlements- </em><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Map_Europe_1923-en.svg"><em>Wikimedia Commons/Fluteflute</em></a></figcaption></figure>



<p>Some two decades later, with Stalin firmly in power and Lenin long dead, the new Soviet leader and his circle were concerned about another German threat: Hitler’s Nazi Germany, and that the Nazi Führer would be able to coerce a weak, unaligned Finland into being a base for a German invasion of the Soviet Union (Soviet Russia had coerced other parts of what was Russia’s disintegrating Empire into a Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: the USSR) aimed at nearby and very vulnerable Leningrad, one of the USSR’s indispensable urban centers.&nbsp; The World War I-/Russian Revolution-/Russian Civil War-era multiple direct collaborations between Finnish and German forces against Tsarist Russia and both Russian and Finnish communists only made this concern more acute in the eyes of the communist Soviets.</p>



<p>Rather than some obsession with dominating and controlling Finland, Stalin seemed mostly concerned with looming Nazi expansionism (hardly an unfounded threat, as history would prove) and saw Finland’s geography in relation to Soviet territory and especially the all-important Leningrad as an unacceptable risk under the status quo in 1938.</p>



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<h5 class="wp-block-heading"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7viGWaR675I"><strong>Aggressive</strong></a><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzZxFEp16R8"><strong> Negotiations</strong></a></h5>



<p>Thus, in April of that year, Stalin had his agents approach Finland with his security concerns.&nbsp; Unlike in 2022 with Putin and his <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/putins-nato-narrative-is-bullshit/">“concerns” about Ukraine and NATO</a>, Nazi Germany was one of the most evil regimes in world history and extremely expansionist as well as warmongering.&nbsp; And today, we know in hindsight (and, indeed, many at the time felt this too, including Stalin, who was off by just a few years) that Hitler very much had designs of conquest and subjugation for the Soviet Union and the Slavic peoples.</p>



<p>Considering all this, public professions of neutrality from Finland, even if sincere by the Finns, did little to comfort Stalin; he knew if Hitler were to try to force Finland into the Nazi German Reich, Finland would not be able to put up much resistance and Hitler could use Finland, then, as a base from which to attack the USSR, or, even without formal conquest, could compel Finland into an alliance with Germany and force it to support an attack or join in an attack against the Soviets.</p>



<p>But Finland possessed a number of worthless, unpopulated islands—used only by Finnish fisherman during summer—that provided excellent defensive positions for the naval approaches to Leningrad, and Stalin’s folks inquired about the possibility of Finland ceding or leasing the islands to the Soviet Union in order to expand its security perimeter.</p>



<p>Finland flat-out rejected the idea.</p>



<p>Almost a year later, in March 1939, the Soviets came back, offering some slightly-disputed Karelian borderlands in exchange for a thirty-year lease of five Islands near Leningrad.&nbsp; Considering the climate of 1939, this was quite a reasonable offer, based on realistic, pressing security concerns on the part of Stalin in light of a massive threat coming from, of all people, Adolf Hitler and his Nazi Reich (again, contrast today with NATO’s defensive alliance led by U.S. President Joe Biden: needless to say, nowhere near equivalents; and Ukraine’s borders with Russia now are nowhere near as close as Finland’s was to a one of the largest and most vulnerable cities of concern for the Soviets, meaning there is nothing like a Leningrad-equivalent less than three-dozen kilometers away or even close to that distance).</p>



<p>The man who would come to lead Finland’s military through the war, Gustav Mannerheim, felt this deal was entirely reasonable, knowing how weak and ill-supplied his Finnish Army was (it did not have a single working anti-tank gun at this time).&nbsp; He was already a legend at the time: a distinguished veteran of high rank during World War I, the culmination of his service for the tsar in the last few decades of the existence the Russian Empire of which Finland was then still a part; the leader of the anticommunist Finnish Whites who led them to victory in their brief civil war against the Finnish Reds; and at this point in 1939, the head of the Finnish government’s Defense Council.</p>



<p>But Mannerheim was ignored by the Finnish political leadership, along with the Soviet Union’s offers.&nbsp; Still, the Soviets kept pressuring Finland over the ensuing weeks and felt themselves pressured in this spring of 1939, eyeing Nazi Germany nervously.</p>



<p>Hitler was indeed hostile, but was more focused for the moment on Central Europe, so the two enemies were able to come to the infamous Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in in August 1939, Hitler gobbling up western Poland soon after followed by Stalin gobbling up eastern Poland.&nbsp; Seeing the writing on the wall, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania—each responding to invitations from late September through early October from the Soviets—soon after arrived in Moscow and would sign separate agreements making them de facto vassal satellite states of the Soviet Union, their freedom reluctantly signed away to avoid bloodshed faced with what they saw as a foregone conclusion.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1b.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1b.png" alt="Eastern Europe 1939" class="wp-image-5621" width="980" height="692" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1b.png 1024w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1b-300x212.png 300w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1b-768x543.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px" /></a><figcaption><a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ribbentrop-Molotov.svg"><em>Wikimedia Commons/Peter Hanula</em></a></figcaption></figure>



<p>Now, it was Finland’s turn.&nbsp; On October 12, Stalin put forward his demands to a high-level Finnish delegation that had been summoned to Moscow, explaining he could not tolerate Leningrad being so vulnerable by land and sea in the current climate.&nbsp; Therefore, he insisted on: a relatively large cessation of territory in the Karelian Isthmus approaching Leningrad; the destruction of all of Finland’s considerable fortifications on the Isthmus; four of the Finnish islands in the Gulf of Finland near Leningrad; most of the Rybachi (or Rybachy) Peninsula jutting out into the Barents Sea in the Arctic Ocean; leasing mainland Finland’s southernmost point, the Hanko peninsula, and its port there, where the Russians would establish a base manned by some 5,000 troops and supporting forces.&nbsp; In exchange, the USSR would give Finland some 5,500 square kilometers on Russia’s side of Karelia north of Lake Ladoga.</p>


<div class="wp-block-image">
<figure class="aligncenter size-full"><a href="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1c.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="464" height="599" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1c.png" alt="Stalin Finland proposals" class="wp-image-5620" srcset="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1c.png 464w, https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/ww1c-232x300.png 232w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 464px) 100vw, 464px" /></a><figcaption><em>Soviet-Finnish border, late 1939, with Stalin’s proposed exchanges-</em> <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Finland-Soviet_Union_Oktober-November_1939.PNG"><em>Realismadder/Wikimedia Commons</em></a></figcaption></figure>
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<p>Compared to Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania—which de facto had to cede their entire sovereignty to the Soviet Union—Finland was getting off easy.&nbsp; And yet, the Finns also realized that the Karelian Isthmus demands meant essentially the eradication of Finland’s strongest and primary lines of defense against the Soviet Union.&nbsp; In addition, nearly all of Finland’s government leaders felt this was only the first series of demands before what they saw as the inevitable coming of later pre-hatched demands, which, after giving in on these first ones, the Finns would be powerless to resist.&nbsp; Some top Finish politicians and officials thought Stalin was bluffing or just setting a high position for haggling purposes, but Mannerheim, almost alone, thought the Soviets were quite serious and opined it would be wise to accommodate them.</p>



<p>As negotiations unfolded over the rest of October and into November, the Finns agreed to cede some of the Islands and a bit of the Karelian Isthmus, but rejected the Hanko proposition.&nbsp; Yet Stalin’s list of demands was no ploy and it was likely Stain was genuinely frustrated by weeks Finnish intransigence during negotiations.&nbsp; That the Finns were so stubborn over so many weeks actually led Stalin to believe that there was a distinct possibility they had already made some sort of backroom deal with the Nazis.&nbsp; For Trotter, lending credence that Stalin’s real and full aims were most likely what had been put openly to the Finns in October was that, years later in the final years of World War II and the early Cold War—when Stalin could easily have conquered all of Finland—he chose not to do so.&nbsp; But for Trotter, too, also clear was what the Soviets were demanding at gunpoint of Finland</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow"><p>came back to an irreducible case of right and wrong.&nbsp; Finland was a sovereign nation, and it had every legal and moral right to refuse any Russian demands for territory.&nbsp; And the Soviet Union, for its part, had no legal or moral right to pursue its policies by means of armed aggression.&nbsp; Even [Stalin’s successor] Nikita Khrushchev admitted as much, decades later, although in the next breath he rationalized the invasion in the name of realpolitik: “There’s some question whether we had any legal or moral right for our actions against Finland.&nbsp; Of course we didn’t have any legal right. &nbsp;As far as morality is concerned, our desire to protect ourselves was ample justification in our own eyes.” (17)</p></blockquote>



<p>A final meeting in Moscow took place on November 9 between Stalin alongside his Minister of Foreign Affairs, Vyacheslav Molotov, and the Finnish delegation in Moscow, Stalin reiterating his position and the Finns responding with the same small concessions they had put forward earlier.&nbsp; A yet-again surprised Stalin continued to plead with the Finns for an hour for further concessions, but to no avail.&nbsp; All seemed frustrated, but he bid the Finns a respectful farewell with handshakes and an “All the best.”&nbsp; It seems not with grandiose ambition, fury, or outrage, but a worn-out resignation to a regrettable yet necessary endeavor, that Stalin went from those almost cordial goodbyes to planning for a war to take his rejected demands by force.</p>



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<h5 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>A Disturbing Difference</strong></h5>



<p>I have already briefly mentioned a difference that I have found quite disturbing, one which I will now revisit in this conclusion.&nbsp; Looking at the precipice in 1939 just before Stalin invaded Finland, it is quite striking and unsettling for us today to realize that what Stalin was demanding—and apparently genuinely—of Finland pales in comparison to what Putin is demanding of Ukraine today.&nbsp; And this was even at a time of exponentially greater external security threats facing Stalin when compared with what Putin faces today in our present time of essentially <em>no</em> clear, present, imminent external security threats to Russia.&nbsp; To be fair, Stalin was far more brutal to Ukraine in his day, as noted herein, and Putin is not attacking Finland, but that is not the comparison I am making.</p>



<p>Still, again, let this sink in: <em>Joseph Stalin, of all people, and at a time of terrible danger to the Soviet Union that he more or less foresaw, seems more rational and measured in 1939 than Putin does in 2022 at a time of far more security and stability.</em></p>



<p>I am not yet prepared to say what this means, but this reality makes me, to say the least, <em>extremely uncomfortable</em>.</p>



<p>At the same time, the First Soviet-Finnish War had an astonishingly good outcome for Finland, and, as I have explained in <a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-super-short-guide-to-why-ukraine-is-kicking-russias-ass-in-putins-ukraine-war/">other work</a>, Ukraine today is—to use the technical military term—kicking Russia’s ass, so there are also those two points to consider…</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="https://realcontextnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Putin-looks-at-Stalin.webp" alt="" class="wp-image-5629" width="980" height="547"/><figcaption><em>Russian President Vladimir Putin looks at a flag with portraits of Soviet leaders Vladimir Lenin and Joseph Stalin on March 6, 2020- GETTY IMAGES</em></figcaption></figure>



<p><em>See all&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/articles/putin-russia-war-ukraine-invasion/">Brian’s Ukraine coverage&nbsp;<strong>here</strong></a></em></p>



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<p><strong>© 2022 Brian E. Frydenborg all rights reserved, permission required for republication, attributed quotations welcome</strong></p>



<p><em>Also see my eBook,&nbsp;</em><strong><em>A Song of Gas and Politics: How Ukraine Is at the Center of Trump-Russia, or, Ukrainegate: A “New” Phase in the Trump-Russia Saga Made from Recycled Materials</em></strong><em>, available for&nbsp;</em><strong><em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B081Y39SKR/">Amazon Kindle</a></em></strong><em>&nbsp;and</em><strong><em>&nbsp;<a href="https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/a-song-of-gas-and-politics-brian-frydenborg/1135108286?ean=2940163106288">Barnes &amp; Noble Nook</a></em></strong>&nbsp;(preview&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/a-song-of-gas-and-politics-how-ukraine-is-at-the-center-of-trump-russia-or-ukrainegate-a-new-phase-in-the-trump-russia-saga-made-from-recycled-materials-ebook-preview-excerpt/">here</a>), and be sure to check out&nbsp;<a href="https://realcontextnews.com/articles/podcast/"><strong>Brian’s new podcast</strong></a>!</p>


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