By Brian E. Frydenborg (LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter @bfry1981, YouTube) January 15, 2024 (recorded January 14, 2024); because of YOU, Real Context News surpassed one million content views on January 1, 2023, but I still need your help, please keep sharing my work and consider also donating! Real Context News produces commissioned content for clients upon request at its discretion. Also, Brian is running for U.S. Senate for Maryland and you can learn about his campaign here.
Thirteenth episode on the on the train wreck of insanity and depravity that is the 2024 Republican presidential nomination contest: focusing on the Iowa caucuses and the other early contests: the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada caucuses, and the South Carolina primary as well as how the rest of the race will unfold and why incumbent President Joe Biden will beat Trump.
Notes (more to come):
Title Screen photo credits: ABC/The Hill
The Republican 2024 presidential nomination primary/caucus calendar, per New York Times
All 2024 Republican presidential race polling, national and state, per FiveThirtyEight
On the details of Ron DeSantis’s catastrophic failure on COVID-19, with Florida having the 10th highest per capita death rate after some very early advantages, see this Guardian article, this BMJ article about the DeSantis Administration lying about COVID statistics, this Washington Post article covering DeSantis’s debate with Gov. Gavin Newson of California
On Ramaswamy’s extremism: See this New Yorker article
On Haley’s history of problems with the Civil War and slavery, see this Washington Post article and this from WHYY/PBS/NPR
All the numbers behind the Selzer poll
On Ann Selzer’s legendary status as a pollster, see FiveThirtyEight
Des Moines Register writeup of the Selzer poll with Selzer’s commentary
On the weather in Iowa for this caucus, see the New York Times
Myself and the late legend Christopher Hitchens savaging the caucuses
When I said Jewish community, I was referring the one in then-Palestine, known as the Yishuv
A primary without a competing caucus in Nevada would be more representative, but since Trump is the leader of a cult there, Republicans might boycott the primary en masse, so it might not be more representative under these conditions, it will depend on If there is decent turnout.
My discussion with Rula Jebreal
On Biden’s frustrations with Netanyahu, see Barak Ravid in Axios and oh so many others and my discussion with Noga Tarnopolsky
My article on Trump, insurrection, and Gen. U.S. Grant
© 2023-2024 Brian E. Frydenborg all rights reserved, permission required for republication, attributed quotations welcome
Consider donating if you appreciate this content. Also see Brian’s deep-dive on the 2014 Israel-Hamas war.
Feel free to share and repost this article on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Twitter. If you think your site or another would be a good place for this or would like to have Brian generate content for you, your site, or your organization, please do not hesitate to reach out to him!